How To Change Scoring Settings In Nfl Fantasy Football
Dave Gettleman is the last general director to select a running back in the top five in the NFL typhoon. In this case terminal means both that he is the near recent to do it, and that no i else volition ever practice it again. Should Big Bluish continue to struggle, and Gettleman be fired as a outcome, that's nothing to be historic. Just, male child, would we accept a new pastime for him.
Fantasy football is the last breastwork for those who value running backs above all other positions. Is it too much to ask the strategies for building a fantasy roster even loosely resemble those of the NFL?
Back in the 1980s, when fantasy football game outset took root, running dorsum supremacy was fine, because NFL offenses revolved more than heavily around the ground game. Only by the 1990s sophisticated passing offenses began to take over, and the NFL adjusted its rules to encourage teams to have to the air. Commencement, officials began flagging defensive backs for thought crimes on receivers, then they made information technology illegal to hitting quarterbacks above the acme of the navel, and so below the lesser of the navel, and so at all, particularly difficult. The outcome has been a steady trend of pass-happy systems, with quarterbacks increasing in value exponentially for real-life teams. Running backs, meanwhile, are now more replaceable than ever. Look at the recent holdout of Melvin Gordon. The Chargers pretty much said, "Yeah, instead of paying you lot, we'll just play the backup."
And information technology worked! Really well!!
Just fantasy football game is, similar an obsessive fan of Stranger Things, stuck in the '80s. It'due south a fine testify, perfectly enjoyable, but I mean... Anyway, running backs are still king, dominating the commencement rounds of the draft, while taking a quarterback early on is a mode to spot a fantasy rube.
Together, we can flip the equation to movement fantasy quarterbacks' value closer to what it is in real life. All it requires is a couple of scoring altercations that are not peculiarly radical. Afterward all, no one wants to be in a league where the possessor drafting outset takes Patrick Mahomes, the next 1 picks Lamar Jackson—and everyone else curls into the fetal position and softly weeps. But there'southward no reason quarterbacks should be the fantasy-football equivalent of punters, for goodness' sake.
Before nosotros get into my proposals, understand the mathematics currently at work. Assessing a player's worth in fantasy is all about value over replacement. If we lived in a world where 60 running backs averaged between 20 and 25 fantasy points per game, running backs wouldn't be as valuable because anybody would have proficient ones. But nosotros don't. In standard 12-team, one-half-PPR leagues last season that started ii running backs and a flex, the gap between the top running back (Christian McCaffrey) and the superlative nonstarting RB (Kareem Hunt) was xv.three fantasy points per game. Meanwhile, the gap between the all-time quarterback (Jackson) and the 13th-all-time QB—essentially, the top "replacement-level" QB (Kyler Murray)—was only nine.9. And that QB gap is equally large every bit it is only considering of Jackson's historic year. If you slow the Lamar factor by taking the average of the summit three QBs, the gap between them and the summit replacement QB is 5.7 points per game. For the superlative three running backs, information technology'south 10.9.
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My commencement proposed change is a no-brainer: Increase the value of touchdown passes to half dozen points. ("4 points per TD laissez passer" is arbitrary at best and the unhinged rantings of a mad man at worst.) This change gives quarterbacks' value a heave, but only a slight heave, because TD totals are relatively consistent among the top QBs. A half dozen-signal TD moves the value-over-replacement for Jackson (from ix.9) to 11.viii fantasy points, still nowhere near McCaffrey's 15.3.
The adjacent alter is more critical: Beginning but 1 running back. For the love of James Develin, no NFL team is lining upward 2 tailbacks in the same backfield, so why are we doing information technology in fantasy football? Taking abroad the second running back also allows you to eliminate the flex, which Zeus brought into beingness only to make for an even number of starters for the sake of snake drafts. Start iii receivers, which well-nigh NFL teams do anyway, as well as a tight end. Better yet, let the selection of starting 2 receivers and two tight ends. (If you lot're scoring at home—and I know y'all are—that makes for a starting lineup of QB, RB, WR, WR, TE, WR/TE.)
In this scoring organisation and lineup configuration, the value over replacement for McCaffrey falls to a much more than reasonable 12.seven points per game. Running backs are withal rex, only at present QBs accept at least pulled almost even.
You're going to contend that in Mahomes's 2018 season, using six-bespeak TD pass scoring would accept ruined a league. (I'd argue that it should have—in reality, he was the best histrion in football game past an obscene margin.) But in reality, the gap between Mahomes and the elevation replacement-level QB was 10.15 points per game that year, notwithstanding less than peak RB Todd Gurley's VORP of 10.29.
If math isn't enough for yous, here's an obvious added bonus: Yous'll get your Lord's day mornings back. Remember Dominicus mornings? You would have liked to take spent that time playing with the kids, cleaning upwards the yard, or possibly going to your house of worship. Only instead you were hunched over a screen, bowl of Mueslix in hand, trying to decide between Royce Freeman and Rashaad Penny at RB2 for a bye-heavy calendar week. There aren't that many running backs in the NFL with significant roles. Eliminate the RB2 and you lot will be free of this torture.
You will besides be doing your part to movement fantasy football game into the 21st century, even if it ways Dave Gettleman will never bring together your league.
This story originally appeared in SI's fantasy football preview issue, available on newsstands at present. Check out SI Fantasy for more fantasy football game coverage. For those leagues not following Gary's communication, we recommend 5 Mid-Round Value Running Backs with Early Round Upside and Five Late-Round Running Backs to Target in Fantasy Drafts.
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Source: https://www.si.com/nfl/2020/07/24/improve-fantasy-football-by-making-qbs-more-valuable
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